US escalates the war in Ukraine, indirectly.They are publicly distancing themselves from the war to bring first China down.They are using Europe to achieve a ceasefire&want to challenge Russia later.

• As the US seeks to transfer its proxy war to Europe and freeze it as it pivots to China as part of “strategic sequencing,” Russia continues expanding military industrial production and is intensifying its strategy of attrition in Ukraine;

• Western media admits Russia possesses advantages in drone warfare, manpower, and missile production;;

• Meanwhile, US efforts to expand its own military industrial production and that of its European proxies is falling far short;

• Despite efforts to expand Patriot missile production, Russia is producing as many Iskander ballistic missiles as the US is producing interceptors;

Brian Berletic - Wikispooks Brian Joseph Thomas Berletic, who wrote for over a decade under the pen name of 'Tony Cartalucci',[1] is a geopolitical researcher and writer based in Bangkok, Thailand.[2] His work covers world events from a Southeast Asian perspective. Berletic's former blog Land Destroyer Report moved to NewAtlas.report in October 2021.[3]

In March 2022, Brian Berletic was again suspended by Twitter for diverging from the western narrative.[4] Background

Brian Berletic, by his own account, "joined the US Marine Corps at the age of 17 just days after graduating high school."[1]

Career

Brian Berletic is reportedly a former US marine.[5][6] He has been regular contributor to Land Destroyer Report[7], Activist Post[8], New Eastern Outlook[9], Russia Insider[10], The Grayzone[11], United Pushback[12], The Daily Sheeple,[13] 21st Century Wire[14] and Global Research[15] and has had work published at Off Guardian.[16]

In a report about Fake news censorship in July 2019, New Eastern Outlook reported that both Berletic's Twitter and Facebook accounts had been deleted. [17] The report cites a Reuters article [18] in which a Facebook spokesman is quoted as saying that this and other account deletions were for "coordinated inauthentic behavior". It is a detailed account of the methods being employed by the "Fake news website" campaign to censor platforms that effectively challenge western official narratives.

Transcript of the video: today is May 27th 2025 the conflict in Ukraine has reached another critical

juncture we are seeing an escalation on the part of the US but it it is doing

this in a very indirect way it is laundering its escalation through Europe through Ukraine as it tries to at least

publicly distance itself from this conflict this is all part of a a pivot

to China it sees China as a more urgent threat it wants to focus its resources

on China it wants Europe to invest more in its proxy war on Russia in Ukraine

and most importantly it desperately wants to freeze this conflict and come around back to it later so I'm going to

use these two terms often it is about a division of labor between the US and its European proxies and this is about

strategic sequencing it's about freezing this conflict focusing on China first and

then coming back and dealing with Russia later this is exactly what the US did

with Syria it was a successful strategy the US successfully overthrew the Syrian

government late last year and they hope to repeat the success regarding its

proxy war against Russia in Ukraine so I want to talk about the recent signs of

escalation first is this article from Politico this was just yesterday May 26

2025 mertz lifts range limits on Ukraine weapons to hit targets inside Russia

germany is under pressure to supply Ukraine with its powerful longrange tourist cruise missiles these are two

decisions that only the United States can make the United States will make this decision and Germany will follow

suit and if you've been following my work or that of the Duran Alex and

Alexandria Duran or Scott of Calibrated we have all talked about the Taurus air

launch cruise missiles and how if there is any way at all of sending them to Ukraine they will be sent there will be

a constant uh escalation until it is physically impossible to escalate any

further this article says "Germany and its key allies as if Germany is is the leader now have lifted range

restrictions on weapons sent to Ukraine allowing Kiev to hit targets inside Russia with no external limits there are

no more range limitations for weapons delivered to Ukraine neither from the Brits nor the French nor from us." He's

talking about Germany not from the Americans either MS said of course

Germany isn't going to make this decision for the United States or talk about it on behalf of the United States

unless the US told them to and so again this is the US posing as a mediator in

its own proxy war on Russia and laundering escalation through Europe and

Ukraine there were also these posts on social media first from Keith Kellogg who is a special envoy for the Trump

administration supposedly as part of these alleged

peace negotiations with Russia Ukraine and Europe and this is what he has said

uh very recently this is Kiev the in discriminate killing of women and children at night in their homes is a

clear violation of the 1977 Geneva peace protocols designated to protect innocents these attacks are shameful

stop the killing cease fire now this is exactly what the US has done all throughout recent history when a nation

is ignoring US demands they fabricate claims of human rights abuses

atrocities trying to corner them politically and diplomatically to agree to whatever it is that they're demanding

in this case again I'll show you a ceasefire they desperately desperately want Russia to agree to a ceasefire the

United States has already instructed Europe to prepare forces to enter into Ukraine they want to create a Minsk 3.0

framework and a Syria style buffer zone in Ukraine they want to freeze this and stop this conflict so that the US can

focus on China division of labor strategic sequencing and then we have this from

President Donald Trump himself i've always had a very good relationship with Vladimir Putin of Russia but something

has happened to him he has gone absolutely crazy he's needlessly killing a lot of people and I'm not just talking

about soldiers missiles and drones are being shot into cities in Ukraine for no reason whatsoever i've always said that

he wants all of Ukraine not just a piece of it and maybe that's proving to be right but if he does it will lead to the

downfall of Russia likewise President Zullinsky is doing his country no favors by talking the way he does everything

out of his mouth causes problems i don't like it and it better stop this is a war that would never have started if I were

president this is Zalinsk's Putin's and Biden's war not Trump's i'm only helping

to put out the big and ugly fires that have been started through gross

incompetence and hatred except that is completely untrue president Donald Trump

in his previous administration uh eagerly participated in the leadup to

this war his administration was the first to officially openly publicly arm

Ukraine he armed them with anti-tank uh Javelin missiles and he still to this

day brags about doing that we have to remember what actually led up to the

2022 special military operation Russia's military incursion into Ukraine the US

violently overthrew the Ukrainian government in 2014 and that was after years and years of US political

interference not just inside Ukraine but across all of Eastern Europe and we know that because the western media admits

that this is from all the way back in 2004 US campaign behind the turmoil in Kiev so they as far back as 2004 they

were trying to overthrow the government creates Ukraine as a battering ram

against Russia and they spent billions of dollars doing this it didn't succeed in 2004 but as they admit in this

article they also carried out regime change in Serbia and in Georgia in 2003

they also attempted it in Bella Roose and they continued interfering in Ukraine until 2014 they were finally

successful from 2014 onward again the Western media admits all of this the CIA

took over all of Ukraine's uh intelligence agencies reorganized them

and directed them to pursue US objectives the spy war how the CIA secretly helps Ukraine fight Putin this

did not begin with Russia's incursion into Ukraine in 2022 for more than a decade this includes all throughout

President Trump's first administration this was published in 2024 for more than

a decade the United States has nurtured a secret intelligence partnership with Ukraine that is now critical for both

countries in countering Russia and if you go through this article they talk about US CIA bases built all along

Russia's border in Ukraine uh the creation of uh military units within

Ukrainian intelligence to carry out covert operations killing Russians in Russian held territory like uh Crimea

and even within Russia itself when you hear about Ukrainian intelligence carrying out assassinations inside

Russia killing military officers killing journalists that is the CIA

created teams carrying this out it's it's all admitted in the New York Times

article they created these units and these are the units carrying out these operations and there's this more recent

article this is published in 2025 also from the New York Times the partnership

the secret history of the war in Ukraine this is the untold story of America's hidden role in Ukrainian military

operations against Russia's invading armies and if you go through this article it admits that Ukraine isn't

fighting Russia at all the US is fighting Russia through Ukraine there is a command center in Germany us generals

direct absolutely everything from large offensives in 2022 and 2023 to picking

out specific targets on the battlefield using western transferred weapons to Ukraine to target and destroy and these

targets and that means both inside Russian held territory but also inside

indisputably Russian territory this is a US war being fought against Russia using

Ukraine as intermediaries also a lot of this is being laundered through Europe and now much more so than ever as the US

seeks to pivot to China freeze this conflict and pivot to China they want Europe to take a bigger role in all of

this they need to prepare the European public to give up

the use of public money being spent on them they need to prepare them for that

because this public money is going to be transferred to arms and ammunition production which is going to be used to

freeze this conflict or at least create some sort of stalemate giving the US

time to focus on China before it circles back around division of labor strategic sequencing when I talk about division of

labor and strategic sequencing I'm talking specifically about this directive us Secretary of Defense Pete

Hexath under the Trump administration delivered to Europe on February 12th 2025 earlier this

year he laid this plan out for a division of labor and strategic

sequencing where did this idea come from may they come from policy papers

published years before Trump ever came into office the first one I want to show you is this from the Marathon Initiative

it's another one of these corporate finance here funded policy think tanks that actually drive US foreign and

domestic policy not not Congress not the White House and it's titled strategic sequencing revisited and it was

published in 2024 but it's about a policy paper published earlier in 2020

and I want to read this introduction to you the United States faces a growing risk of a multiffront war against Russia

China and Iran the optimal response to this danger would be a sequential strategy aimed at inflicting a strategic

defeat on Russia and Ukraine on a faster timeline than China's prepared to move against Taiwan but for that strategy to

work the United States must use the current window wisely to shore up the situation in Eastern Europe broker a

more effective division of labor with allies in Europe and the Indo-acific and reform US defense uh industrial base and

these are all of the things US Secretary of of Defense Pete Hexath has said since

uh taking his position within the Trump administration that is his agenda to implement this policy paper and all the

other policy papers describing the strategy uh so let's go

to Secretary of Defense Pete Hexes February 12th

2025 directive this is a year after this policy paper was published he says "We

face a competitor in the communist Chinese with the capability and intent to threaten our homeland and core

national interests in the Indoacific the Indoacific is on the other side of the planet from the US so what what

Secretary Hegft is talking about what the Trump administration the Biden administration Obama Bush so on and so

forth what they're talking about is containing China in Asia so the US can

continue helping itself to Asia maintain its primacy over Asia despite being

located on the other side of the planet he also says as the United States prioritizes its attention to these

threats he's talking about China European allies must lead from the front together we can establish a division of

labor that maximizes our comparative advantages in Europe and Pacific respectively it's almost verbatim what

was laid out in the 2024 West Mitchell uh paper from the marathon initiative he

also said again this is Secretary Hegsth in February this year talking about Europe donating more ammunition and

equipment leveraging comparative advantages expanding your defense industrial base exactly what West Mitchell said in in that 2024 paper and

importantly leveling with your citizens about the threat facing Europe part of

this is speaking frankly with your people about how this threat can only be met by spending more on defense 2% is

not enough president Trump has called for 5% and I agree that's what this is about the US

is still directing the proxy war against Russia but it needs Europe to take more public spending away from the European

people and put it into its proxy war in Ukraine against Russia and so they need

to convince the European people that there is some sort of threat facing them from Russia to justify transferring

public spending from Europeans in Europe to this US proxy war that is what this

is about that is what the Trump administration came into office planning to do not make peace but to continue

this war and to to ring Europe further for support for this so that they can

focus more on China division of labor strategic sequencing and challenge your

countries and your citizens to double down and recommmit yourself not only to Ukraine's immediate security needs but

to Europe's long-term defense and deterrence goals does that sound like the a Trump administration seeking any

sort of peace with Russia in Ukraine the answer is no and then this part is very

important uh again this is Secretary Hegth delivering his directive to Europe

February earlier this year security guarantee any security guarantee must be

backed by capable European and non-European troops no American troops european and non-European troops that

these troops are deployed as peacekeepers to Ukraine at any point they should be deployed as part of a non-NATO mission uh and they should not

be covered under article 5 there also must be robust international oversight

of the line of contact so that is not ending the conflict that is freezing it this is this is the actual plan

they they want to continue it as it is at worst and at best they would they

would like to freeze it and and come back to it just like they did uh with Syria that was a proxy war the US waged

against Syria from 2011 to 2024 and they had to freeze the conflict

because they were losing they froze the conflict they hollowed out the Syrian

army economy government then they overextended Syria's allies Russia and

Iran and by 2024 everything collapsed and they won the US won they overthrew

the government of Syria just like they sought to from 2011 onward this is what they plan to do with

Ukraine so there there is no change with the Trump administration this is continuity of agenda and this is their

plan to implement it after US Secretary of Defense Pete Hexat delivered this

directive to Europe they immediately began implementing it a lot of people

don't recall or talk about Secretary Hexath telling Europe that this was the

plan they they still honestly believe President Trump wants peace in Ukraine

but after he delivered this directive Europe began implementing it and then people who still believe President Trump

wants peace they interpreted this as Europe undermining President Trump's peace

negotiations even though the US told Europe to do this uh so we we remember

right after that the UK along with other European nations announcing a coalition of the willing this was them getting

troops ready to go into Ukraine if a ceasefire was arranged there was also

this Germany set to spend big on army and infrastructure this is uh this is

March right after February germany to comply with Trump's 5% defense spending

target foreign minister suggest so so that this is very explicit president

Trump told Europe not 2% 5% and Europe began complying france also Macron's

defense spending plan drives open political divisions in France and then uh the most explicit example of this was

actually uh the United Kingdom Secretary of State for Defense John Healey he he

literally sat across from the table from Secretary Hegsath in March about a month

after Secretary Hegsath delivered his directive and this is what he says

we last met last month in NATO and then

you challenged Europe to step up you

challenged us to step up on Ukraine on defense spending on European

security and I say to you that we we have we are and we will further and last

week the British prime minister announced the biggest increase in defense spending since the end of the

cold war and we will go further so absolute obedience from Europe and so

this is not Europe undermining uh US peace negotiations in Ukraine this is

Europe doing exactly what the US told them to do why is there this desperate

desire to freeze this conflict why is the the Trump administration and Europe

so insistent on Russia accepting a 30-day unconditional ceasefire

because that will give them the opportunity to send European troops into Ukraine and make it very difficult for

Russia to restart its military operations why are they doing that

though because as the conflict stands and just like in Syria before that conflict was frozen the US is losing it

in this proxy war against Russia and every

time morale starts to wayne and there's this need to

encourage not just Ukraine the the military the public but g maintain

global support for this US proxy war against Russia and Ukraine they need to

convince everybody that no matter how bad things look for Ukraine Russia is about to collapse so we we always see

this narrative rolled out when it when they need to convince people to just keep fighting a little

bit longer we have this article from the Washington Post trump softens on Putin as Russia's military edge weakens

officials say Moscow's advantage on the Ukraine battlefield is waning experts say but President Donald Trump seems

disincclined to ramp up pressure on the Kremlin to engage in ceasefire talks well we know that's not true the the US

is laundering escalation through Europe they have Germany say taking the limits off these weapons the US itself

obviously made that decision but they they have Germany announce it so it's

public perception management but the the main point of this article is to convince everybody that Russia is

weakening just keep fighting a little bit longer let's keep it going a little bit longer this is what the Washington

Post says absent a negotiated settlement or robust Western assistance the war

probably will continue to slowly trend in Russia's favor through 2025 this is according to a US Defense Intelligence

Agency assessment presented to Congress 10 days ago by the AY's director this

was this was from I believe May 25th 2025

but Russia's gains are slowing and continue to come at the expense of high

personnel and equipment losses since its February 2022 invasion the DIA

assessment said Russia has lost at least 10,000 ground combat vehicles including

more than 3,000 tanks as well as nearly 250 aircraft and helicopters and more

than 10 naval vessels over the past year Russia has taken only 6% of additional

Ukrainian territory at the cost of 1,500 killed or wounded per day current and

former Western officials said Russia is very gradually taking bits of territory

still but at an unsustainably high cost said Richard Barons the former head of Britain Britain's Joint Forces Command

some officials have estimated Russia's total casualties at more than a million but is any of that true where's the

evidence of any of this and isn't this what we have been told since the conflict began that Russia's its

military uh power is going to collapse in a year's time we've been hearing this

since 2022 i've actually have articles uh like this from Newsweek russia might

run out of weapons ammunition by end of year this was 2022 so by the end of 2022

that they would have run out of weapons and ammunition years ago at this point

in hindsight and then and then they publish articles like this this was just this year russia could run out of tanks by 2026 so you you can see this is a a a

running narrative that they used to convince people to just keep fighting a little bit longer it's it's not futile

just keep fighting a little bit longer russia will eventually collapse and yet the collapse never quite seems to come

as a matter of fact as I'm going to demonstrate because this is as much of an update on military-industrial

production as it is on the geopolitical aspects of this conflict I'm going to show you that Russian

military-industrial production has massively increased and this is all according to Western sources not Russian

sources if you look at western claims of Russian lo losses

Russian Ukrainian losses there's about a 7:1 ratio of injured to dead if we go to

media zona uh this is a USbacked opposition group together with British

uh state media the BBC and these are what they call confirmed Russian losses

in this conflict uh and as you can see they have a timeline from February 2022

all the way up to April May 2025 and as you can see there is a steep decline in

Russian losses and over the course of a month you could say that the numbers are

still catching up but uh this period of time is is too long to say that the

numbers need to catch up there's obviously a decline here and if you look at any given day there's

aboutund to 130 140 let's be generous and say 150 100 to

150 confirmed dead according to this project let's just say it's around 100

because there's many days where there's far fewer than 100 let's say the average is about 100 confirmed dead according to

Media Zona you take that and times it by seven that's around 8 800 total

casualties dead or injured so it's not even close to 1,500 let's say though

that they are losing 1,500 troops every day dead or

injured that's around 45,000 casualties per month and yet we

have articles like this from the Wall Street Journal this was from April 27th

2025 so relatively recent the Russian military moves that have Europe on edge

what does this article say it says "In recent months Russia has seen a sharp rise in recruitment because of generous

one-time signing bonuses at both the federal and regional levels the US estimates that around 30,000 Russians

are signing up each month up from about 25,000 last summer some Eastern European

intelligence officials said the ranks are now swelling by some 40,000 soldiers a month." So 25,000 30,000 40,000 a

month not 45,000 not more than 45,000 yet this is what the Wall Street Journal

also says the extra manpower has allowed the military to rotate new troops in and

out of Ukraine and to build new units trained and housed in Russia according to some European intelligence

assessments that would be impossible if they were losing 45,000 or more

casualties every single month but they were only recruiting 25,000 30 to 40,000

a month they would not have this additional manpower to rotate troops back and forth from the battlefield or

to create entirely new units and and train them extensively inside Russia for long periods of time that would be

impossible so this is not adding up clearly Russia is not losing that many casualties as Media Zona itself

indicates there is a decline in casualties it's not anywhere close to 1,500 and if these recruitment numbers

are right and the the result of this is additional manpower a surplus of manpower then this 1,500 casualty a day

claim is wrong russia is obviously recruiting more manpower training more manpower

preparing more manpower than it is losing on the battlefield what is the same Western media actual Ukrainian

media saying about Ukrainian manpower levels here's from Kiev independent this

is as pro- Ukrainian as you're going to get april 4th 2025 inside Ukraine's

desperate race to train more soldiers so right there already a stark contrast to

the manpower situation in Russia according to the Western media itself 3 years into Russia's full-scale invasion

the Ukrainian military faces an endemic manpower shortage and is forced to scramble for people to fill in the gaps

in the infantry depleted by the war so they're they're not recruiting and

preparing and training more troops than they're losing commanders on the ground have said however that they are

increasingly receiving soldiers who fight as though they have never been trained i've been talking about this for

years lacking basic survival skills such as using an anti-ight vision blanket to

avoid being spotted by the omnipresent drones new recruits are often killed or

wounded in the first weeks according to over a dozen officers interviewed across the front line Ukraine cannot recruit

more troops than it is than it is losing on the battlefield and because they are

just barely or maybe not even replacing their losses they do not have a surplus

of manpower that they can train extensively for long periods of time to actually prepare them for the front line

that is what they are admitting here and this isn't just depleting manpower this

is also a a dive in terms of the quality of these troops and they admit that

they're not properly trained and it's much worse than just a problem

recruiting basic infantry entry- levelvel infantry or entry-level artillery or all of the other roles

necessary on the battlefield they do not have time to even train basic infantry they do not have time to train all of

these other specialties needed for modern warfare it gets even worse though

we're talking about officers and non-commissioned officers that provide leadership

everything from a platoon to a company all the way up to a brigade a

brigade is about 4,000 troops at every level you need to have non-commissioned officers and officers providing

leadership overseeing the the different units that make up a brigade it is units within units within units that makes up

a total brigade and all of these units inside a brigade must fight

together coordinate conduct combined arms operations you'll have infantry

working with artillery with drones with intel with with all of these different aspects required for modern warfare they

all need sufficient training and they need sufficient leadership on the battlefield and because they cannot even replace basic infantry they are most

certainly incapable of replacing non-commissioned officers and officers who are perishing on the battlefield as

well and I've talked about how papers within the US military talking about standing up a new brigade

and this is if you have a pool of officers to draw from takes about two to three years to build a new brigade

ukraine does not even have those officers to draw from so it'll take even longer as a matter of fact it is

impossible for them to reconstitute brigades and it has been all along i remember doing videos about Ukraine

building up brand new brigades ahead of the 2023 offensive and I laid all of this out and I warned people that it is

impossible to build up effective brigades in that that time frame under

those conditions and of course after the 2023 offensive which was completely defeated by Russian defenses they

attempted to reconstitute these brigades because they were devastated by the 2023 offensive and I warned about how that

would be disastrous and this problem continues to get worse and worse and worse the longer this conflict uh takes

place and I would say this is their biggest weak point this is where a

collapse is going to happen probably much more likely than in in the case of

a shortage of weapons and ammunition which they are also suffering from let's get back to the Washington Post article

they also talked about arms and equipment losses for Russia they say Russia has lost at least 10,000 ground

combat vehicles including more than 3,000 tanks as well as nearly 250 aircraft and helicopters and more than

10 naval vessels i read that already and uh I showed you these articles here

where they're always talking about uh by the end of the year Russia will be out of armor or missiles or or or any number

of of weapons or or pieces of equipments and this is the most recent

one russia could run out of tanks by 2026 report and this says the current

rate of Russian tank losses in President Vladimir Putin's invasion of Ukraine could see them run out of military

vehicles by the end of next year according to International Institute for Strategic Studies IISS and releasing its

annual assessment of global military capabilities the think tank said Russian forces lost about 1,400 main battle

tanks in 2024 along with other high losses of infantry fighting vehicles and armored

personnel carriers it also said its report added that Russia has been able to reconstitute some of these losses by

relying on stored Soviet legacy equipment and that in 2024 Moscow's forces have refurbished and built more

than 1,500 main battle tanks at around 2,800 infantry fighting vehicles and

APCs armor personnel carriers however the equipment in storage is highly

likely to be deterior in deteriorated condition and this may make it hard for

Russia to deliver enough equipment to offset previous attrition rates iis director general and chief executive

Bastion Gregoric said current Russian equipment losses cannot be offset

indefinitely by refurbishing stored vehicles he added that Moscow may not have enough MBTs for its offensive

operations beyond 2026 but a lot of this is based on so-called open- source

intelligence especially this pro- Ukrainian website this one I'm sure

everyone is familiar with this Orics and they maintain this this is a tally of

all the weapon systems they claim they've confirmed visually that have been and you can see it's broken up in

categories destroyed damaged captured that is how they break it down and I

want to focus on T90M main battle tanks this is the the most modern main battle

tank Russia is currently using on the battlefield and uh so the same ISS that

Newsweek was citing they're talking about T90M production this is actually

from June 2024 but this gets across the main idea the Newsweek article is also trying to convey that they're just not

making enough of these tanks and so what does the IIS say they're talking about

T90M production they say this would suggest an increase in annual output from about 40 before February 2022 to a

wartime output of 60 to 70 for 2023 with possibly even more to be produced over

the course of 2024 based on this pattern the production rate from 2025 could be

more than 90 main battle tanks t90m main battle tanks if you go back to Orics T9

T90M how many are destroyed you just keep looking here until you get to

damage destroyed destroyed destroyed destroyed this one is damaged so 83 83

tanks destroyed and if you look at some of these pictures it's hard to tell what

condition these tanks are in let's just say that one that one is pretty much

destroyed uh they have pictures like this is that is that destroyed is that completely

destroyed it's hard to tell for this for the sake of argument I'm going to assume that all of these are destroyed but I'm

just showing you there are pictures that they say are of destroyed tanks that don't really appear to be destroyed

they're obviously damaged and abandoned is that to say they cannot be recovered

and refurbished and modernized i don't know so out of 136

tank losses 84 are designated destroyed over the course of 3 years plus iis is

saying Russia is making 90 tanks a year so they're they're make they are actually making more tanks than are

being completely destroyed this 136 tanks lost that we keep hearing cited

across the western media are also including tanks that have been damaged damaged and abandoned or even captured

by Ukraine who's to say that Russia hasn't been able to recover many of

these tanks if you follow the Russian Ministry of Defense on Telegram every week they have videos from repair shops

all along the line of contact recovering and repairing armored

vehicles including T90 tanks but even if you looked at this number 135 and let's

pretend all 135 T90 M tanks have been completely destroyed are irreplaceably

lost over the course of three years that accounts for about 45 tanks per year and

ISS a western think tank is saying Russia is making 90 new brand new from

scratch T90M main battle tanks that's twice as many as they are losing people

can make the argument well Russia is ahead of the curve for T90M main battle tanks but that's because they used so

many T72s different variants of T72s there's also T T80s that they are

refurbishing and and modernizing and so these are also being lost but they

cannot be replaced once the Soviet error stockpiles of old tank hauls and turrets

run out i don't think that it's a viable argument so there's that we also hear a

lot of Western analysts claim videos of Russians carrying out assaults using

motorcycles or all-terrain vehicles like four-wheelers side by sides which are

basically uh an off-road golf cart sort of vehicle could be electric

could be gas powered they're claiming Russians are using that cuz they're already out of armor so they can't even

make up their mind whether they're going to run out of armor next year or they're already out of armor and the reality is

Russia and Ukraine they carry out assaults like this because using smaller quieter faster vehicles for these

assaults make it much less likely they'll be detected and makes it much harder for swarms of drones to target

and destroy them while conducting these assaults so an armored vehicle is much larger it's louder it's easier to detect

it's moving slower and it's easier to engage with drones and other types of

anti-tank weapons so a lot of this is already not adding up out of all the

arguments the collective west makes I would say their their argument regarding armor is probably the most convincing uh

after armor it gets worse and worse for for Ukraine and its Western sponsors

what about other capabilities uh they talk about armor but the vast majority of casualties on the battlefield are

from artillery and drones they make up a significant portion of casualties on

both sides i've talked about artillery shell production for years and years now i've

been explaining why Russia has consistently outproduced both the US and Europe combined combined

and despite claims that the West would drastically expand production they have fallen far short of that let's do an

update on that this is Business Insider this is an article from this year April

4th 2025 russia on track to build artillery shells stockpile triple the size of the US's and Europe's combined

top US generals notice none of my sources are Russian this is all Western

media citing Western sources what does this article say it says Russia may be losing weapons tanks

and ammo at st at at a staggering pace in Ukraine that is debatable but its defense production is going to easily

make up for it a top US general told Congress US Army General Christopher

Cavali NATO Supreme Allied Commander in Europe told the Senate Armed Service Committee that Washington expects Russia

to produce 250,000 artillery shells monthly monthly which puts it on track

to build a stockpile three times greater than the United States and Europe combined that is this year 2025 they're

talking about this year and I've talked about the reason why the West cannot compete with Russia

because Russia's military-industrial base is comprised of state-owned enterprises the state tells them what is

needed and they produce it whether there's profit or not their primary objective is to fulfill the needs of the

state across the West military-industrial base is comprised of private corporations that seek first and

foremost to profit and if it's not profitable not interested in doing it i'll give you an example of how this

affects shell production specifically this is the war zone uh shell game

inside the worldwide TNT shortage this was from May 12th

2025 and it's an interview with Johnny Summers vice president of Energetics for

Global Ordinance this is a company that makes 155 and 152 millimeter artillery

shells and he's talking about the explosives in the shell itself and the propellant needed to launch it out of an

artillery piece the they're talking about TNT china is offering TNT around the world

and we get offered it one or two times a week from various brokers that approach us we're not allowed to procure that TNT

from China so we don't thank you very much we're looking at other sources in other countries i don't want to divulge

too much at this point but we are in negotiations with a couple of other factories in other countries that aren't

on the band list where we can potentially bring in TNT for both the US

government and for our commercial customers when you need to expand

production and expanding production could take a year or more to to actually

do but you're still in negotiations to actually procure input material for

production that means Ukraine is not going to get these shells anytime in the foreseeable future what about

propellant uh this requires nitroc celluloise this is what he says when

he's asked about the propellant china makes that as well in large quantities

we've got a contract to procure some from Taiwan which is part of China by the way there's also a factory in Brazil

most of these factories that exist don't do high volume we work with a propel propellant manufacturer in Canada and

their annual requirement for propellant is about 5,000 metric tons so that's a lot of nitro celluloise but they're

saying that is the problem they need to source it overseas they're

asked whether or not they're going to make a production plant themselves to make these input materials vertically

integrate their operation and they said "No it doesn't make any business sense to do that it's expensive it's difficult

there's all kinds of regulations and and red tape and we're not interested in doing that." That is the problem with

leaving this to private corporations that prioritize profit over any sort of

purpose when profit is their purpose a stateowned enterprise is going to create a massive production facility they're

going to keep uh manpower on hand even if production decreases they're going to

keep equipment tooling on hand even if it's not being used they're going to keep it in case the state needs to surge

production for national security not for profit even if it means losing money in

the process private corporation in the west is going to look at excess production capacity and say that is a

waste of space time and money we are cutting it to maximize profits they're

going to look at vertical integration and say it's too difficult to do that here in the United States it's cheaper

and more profitable to outsource it overseas so this is what they have done and now they're in the process of trying

to undo it and they they won't even undo it because it's not profitable uh the link to this interview is in the video

description below you could read the entire interview and draw your own conclusions let's get back to the

Business Insider article talking about shell production it says "The US now makes about

40,000 155 millimeter artillery shells a month and hopes to reach a monthly production capacity of 90,000 rounds in

2026 so not not this year next year sometime next year meanwhile the

European Union has pledged to hit a manufacturing capacity of two million rounds a year or about 165,000 rounds a

month however its leaders have estimated it will only reach that level by the end

of 2025 many of these rounds are being sent to Ukraine though NATO countries are

also concerned about maintaining their own stockpiles should Ukraine receive 2 million shells a year it can fire just

5,000 a day cavali meanwhile said at the defense conference in February 2023 that

Russia was expending 20,000 shells a day on average well that was in

2023 if they're making 250,000 rounds a month themselves we're also told they're

receiving artillery shells from North Korea we don't know how many exactly but at a minimum around

8,8,500 shells could be fired per day by Russia now that is

still more than Ukraine will be able to fire per day if if and when the US and Europe

both reach their produ production goals sometime in in the future this year or

next year and that's if by next year this the end of this

year or next year Russia hasn't increased artillery shell production even further now the argument you will

hear is that Ukraine okay Ukraine doesn't have artillery but they're making drones instead they have this

huge advantage uh in drone drone technology and they're using these drones to compensate for a lack of

artillery that this isn't true and it also doesn't even make sense when you really think about it both Ukraine and Russia have huge

numbers of drones so it's not as if Ukraine has drones and Russia does not

they both have drones and depending on what source in the west you you listen to they describe about a comparable

number of drones being produced on both sides so that Ukraine really doesn't

have an advantage often we hear well it's not an advantage in numbers it's an advantage in in capability and in terms

of the training of Ukrainian drone operators but if we go back to the manpower issue they they can't even

train basic infantry so where are they getting these drone operators from none none of it adds up but back in reality

Ukraine is using their drones to compensate for artillery but also for all of the things you you need to

actually use drones for russia has drones to use for everything you need to use drones for plus they also have more

artillery at their disposal so they have the obvious advantage in both areas but

it turns out according to the western media that no uh Ukraine actually does

not have an advantage in drones this this was never true but it's a narrative

that has persisted but the western media even now is admitting that no they don't have an advantage so this is May 23rd

2025 is earlier this week washington Post Ukraine scrambles to overcome Russia's edge in fiber optic drones

ukraine pioneered the use of small drones on the battlefield but in Russia's course the region Moscow's

fiber optic cables helped turn the tide new drones were swarming the battlefield

and didn't rely on jammable radio signals like the older simpler models these were controlled instead by tiny

cables as thin as thread stretching back to the operator so usually you're using

some sort of radio signal to control drone if you're using a radio signal electronic warfare can can disrupt that

signal it can come the drone or it can disrupt the signal so you're no longer

able to communicate with the drone the drone just sits there uh or falls out of the sky depending on how it was designed

with a wire guiding the drone there is no way to use electronic warfare to interfere with the signal this is going

through the wire directly to the operator this is how anti-tank guided missiles wireg guided anti-tank missiles

actually work they they're now using that concept uh with drone warfare for

months Russia has ramped up its deployment of fiber optic drones which are steered by the same data

transporting cables made of glass that revolutionized high-speed internet access while the cables can occasionally

tangle cutting off the signal they also give the weapon a major advantage because they cannot be disrupted by

jamming signals russian troops have used the weapons which have a range of up to

12 miles or 19 km for the rest of the world to destroy Ukrainian equipment and

control key logistic routes particularly in Russia's western cors region where

Ukrainian troops say the new technology contributed to their recent painful retreat that and many many other factors

the the manpower issue obviously uh and and again going back to my older videos

covering the conflict in Ukraine again the western media even Ukraine itself admitted this incursion into Corsk drew

some of the best manpower and equipment from Ukraine's armed forces away from the line of contact weakening the entire

line of contact and compounding all of Ukraine's problems the article continues it says "Russia's fiber optic drones

which have a longer battery life and more precise targeting than wireless models vastly outnumbered Ukraine's

drones on the battlefield in Cors giving Russia a key advantage in making uh movement so risky that Ukrainian troops

were at times stranded on the front line without food ammunition or escape routes." Soldiers said Ukraine is also

using fiber optic drones in Korsk and everywhere though in significantly smaller numbers as it races to catch up

with Russia's mass production of the devices and what soldiers and experts describe as the first time Russia has

surpassed Ukraine in frontline drone technology since the full scale invasion in 2022 but that that isn't true if it

was true you would have seen some sort of manifestation of this advantage they always claim Ukraine had they've never

had any sort of overwhelming advantage on the battlefield the only time they had any sort of actual advantage was in

2022 because Russia did not commit nearly enough troops to hold all of the territory they initially seized which is

why we saw the the thean and offensive succeed against

Russian forces they just withdrew because they knew they didn't have the ability to hold all that territory they

retreated to the amount of territory that number of troops could sustainably

defend and since then Ukraine has held no advantage over Russia in in any

regard the same article is talking about Ukrainians making drones in these

workshops that are distributed all across the country they're more difficult to find and target than say a

large factory mass-producing drones and a lot of these workshops work specifically for one unit one specific

military unit has a workshop making drones customtailored for its needs and

they always claim that this is some sort of advantage Ukraine has except Russia also has these types of workshops

attached to specific units they also have massive factories producing huge

numbers of drones of all kinds this is the Garand 2 uh and if you look at uh different

sources uh 2024 2025 they should have reached about 6,000 GTU drones per

year possibly more that's why in recent weeks and months we have seen

larger and larger swarms of Iran 2 drones a recent attack

targeting Ukraine is said to have consisted of just one single attack

consisted of up to 500 GNU drones so no

Ukraine does not have an advantage in terms of drones not in quantity not in quality or capability they do not have

an advantage in terms of manpower admittedly they do not have an advantage nor will they ever have an advantage in

artillery fire not as things are now you have a front line you have troops on

both sides russia has more drones more artillery to to strike at the front line and

uh to the rear of the front line the the logistics supporting the front line what

about even longer range uh weapon systems ballistic missiles and cruise

missiles i just talked about the GRTO drone that is also a very long range weapon who has the advantage there again

it is Russia and this is according to the Western media this is a report

published earlier this year 2025 tactical developments during the third year of the Russo Ukrainian war

and it says Russia is currently set to produce in 2025 more than

750 Iscander ballistic missiles more than 560 KH101 cruise missiles according

to plans drawn up by the Russian Ministry of Defense ballistic missiles and cruise

missiles is another area of obvious advantage for Russia again the Western media admits all of this uh just let's

let's not even count Garan 2 drones or let's let's not talk about cruise missiles yet let's just talk about the

Iscander ballistic missile russi is saying

750 per year uh other other sources say around

600 to 650 the only missile that I'm aware of

capable in theory of intercepting an Iscander ballistic missile is the Patriot missile system this is the only

air defense system that was transferred in large numbers to Ukraine that is capable of possibly intercepting

Iscander missiles if Russia is producing somewhere between 600 to 750

missiles a year is Ukraine receiving enough Patriot missile interceptors to

intercept them all is Lheed Martin which produces the the Patriot missile interceptor are they making enough

worldwide to intercept this number of Escander ballistic missiles and the answer is no and this is according to

Loheed Martin itself this is from March 24th 2025 loheed Martin's Pack 3

achieves record production year how many are they producing it says

in October 2024 the US Army awarded Loheed Martin a contract to increase production capacity to 650 PAC 3 MSE per

year loheed Martin is expected to reach 650 by the year

2027 let's just say they had 650 missiles right now

that is 100 missiles short if if Russi is correct and Russia is producing 750

iscanders per year it's 100 missiles short and that's assuming every single Patriot interceptor is sent to Ukraine

which is not true which is not happening and will not happen but let's just say that somehow that was possible every

single Patriot missile interceptor was sent to Ukraine that is not enough to intercept all the Iscander missiles

Russia is producing even if these missiles had a 100% success rate with

just one shot which they don't and if you watch videos of Patriot missile

systems themselves coming under attack from uh Iscander or Kal which is a

modified air launched version of the Iscander which reaches hypersonic speeds

you will see the Patriot missile system launches every missile that is available

will launch every single missile in an attempt to intercept these incoming Iscander or Kjal missiles and and they

still often miss usually takes two to three interceptors to intercept any

incoming target whether it's a cruise missile a drone or a ballistic missile

especially a ballistic missile so Ukraine will never have enough Patriot missile systems or missile

interceptors to protect itself from this huge number and growing number of

hisander ballistic missiles what about people will say what about NAMIs nims

have the AM120 AM RAM missile these are not capable of intercepting ballistic

missiles they are supposed to intercept aircraft drones and cruise missiles what

about AM120 AM RAM annual production versus Russia's production of cruise

missiles and drones let's look at this article from Breaking Defense rathon to

max out AMRAM production for foreseeable future this was September 2023 but

foreseeable future I think we could say covers 2024 2025 let's see what the

article says ukraine has been hungry for the missiles to bat down a range of airborne threats from aircraft to cruise

missiles and obviously drones built as air-to-air missiles kiev has primarily

used AM RAMs with the groundbased national advanced surfaceto-air missile system NASIMS also made by Rathon

through the imp though the impending transfer of F-16s means AM RAMs could soon be fired from Ukrainian aircraft as

well historically we've been somewhere between 500 to 800 rounds a year said

Paul Ferraro president of air power for RTX subsidiary Rathon down during a

briefing with reporters current orders have ramped that number up to nearly 1,200 Ferraro said hitting the company's

ceiling for the missiles production and given current demand FO said he expects

that level of production to continue for the foreseeable future so 1,200 AM120 AM RAM missiles every single

year russi says Russia is making just 560 KH101 cruise missiles alone plus

6,000 GN 2 drones and then we have and then we have this article from Army

recognition Ukrainian intelligence reveals Russia's missile production surge despite sanctions because there's

many other types of cruise missiles Russia manufactures other than the KH101

and this is citing Andre Yuosovv a representative of

Ukraine's defense intelligence this was shared at the end of last year according

to him Russia produces between 40 and 50 iscander missiles 30 to 50 Calibra

missiles and approximately 50 KH 101 missiles each month each month these

figures indicate a steady increase in manufacturing capacity over the year 360

to 600 Calibra cruise missiles together with 600 KH 101 cruise missiles is

already somewhere between 960 to 1,200 cruise missiles plus the 6,000 plus

Garan 2 drones Russia manufactures each year and again you cannot compare the

number of AM120 AM RAM missiles produced 1,200 to the number of incoming targets

on a onetoone basis usually two two or more missiles will be required to ensure

these incoming targets are successfully intercepted and that again is assuming that all 1,200 of these missiles are

going to Ukraine which they never will a small number of them from that number will go to Ukraine so again it is

impossible for Ukraine's air defense network to intercept all of these incoming missiles and drones from Russia

and this has an accumulative effect over time it is wearing down the number of

interceptors available is also targeting and destroying the air defense systems themselves nas Germany's Iris T system

the Patriot missile system we've watched numbers of these launchers and radars

being destroyed the Pentagon itself admitted a Patriot missile battery was

damaged in 2023 a Kinja missile it failed to intercept we remember that

video the Patriot missile system launched every single missile it had available and it still missed so this is

the problem Ukraine has this is the problem the collective west has in terms of modern military capabilities the rest

of the world has not just caught up because they are employing state-owned enterprises to oversee military-industrial production they have

vastly surpassed the collective west the the West's ambitions far exceed its capability of

achieving that at least through military power remember they also have many

asymmetric means of pursuing their objectives successfully just always keep

in mind Syria that is always a reminder that military power alone is not necessary for the US to succeed and I'm

only talking about ballistic and cruise missiles i haven't even really talked about hypersonic missiles the

Zercon or the Kal Kal air launched

hypersonic missile hasn't been used for months now and I came across this i came

across this article from Euromaiden press again as pro- Ukrainian as is possible russian MiG 31K carrying Kinjaw

missiles absent from Ukrainian skies for 3 weeks and this was uh early early this

was February 2025 we still have not seen MiG 31 Kaw strikes since then and the

BBC News Russian speculates that the aircraft may have exhausted their service life but then it also

cites Ukrainian officials who say they don't they don't believe that they believe Russia is stockpiling these Khal

hypersonic missiles the reason why is because Ukraine's air defense system has

collapsed they are incapable of successfully intercepting ordinary Iscander ballistic

missiles cruise missiles and drones there's no reason to use this much more

capable Kal missile you should stockpile them and save them for uh circumstances

that actually absolutely require them you use hypersonic missiles to circumvent capable air defense systems

russia's pause on using the KAL hypersonic missile is another indicator that Ukraine's air defenses have

collapsed so when you look at all of these different areas manpower drones artillery air defenses

the the lack of any significant longrange strike capability of of its

own to strike back at Russia in regards to cruise missiles and ballistic

missiles all of this adds up to a severe deficit against Ukraine we're always

we're always hearing about how little territory Russia is gaining but we have to remember Russia is not fighting a a

war of territorial conquest right now they are fighting a war of attrition they are

trying to grind down and hollow out Ukraine to precipitate a collapse they're not trying to break through

positions they're wearing them down and as they give as they crumble they're moving forward there's a a big

difference between the two and even still as Ukraine's fighting

capacity gradually collapses over time we are seeing gains in Russian

territorial possession so right here this was the New York Times October

2024 and you can see how it the initial incursion the amount of territory taken

the amount of territory Ukraine took back in its different offensives and then this this isn't a

linear but an exponential increase in territory taken and and this is amid a

war of attrition not a war of territorial gain

what happens when Ukrainian manpower arms and

ammunition can no longer even just hold the line we are going to see additional

territorial gains people constantly ask me when will Russia launch a big arrow

offensive there's there's no reason for them to do that it would be costly the outcome would be

uncertain at a time when attrition is already having the desired effect it it

is just like the conflict in Syria which was frozen for years and

years but because of the US's ability and and the ability of its proxies to hollow out Syria eventually there was a

complete collapse then the entire country was captured in less than a month very rapidly over the course of

one or two weeks the whole country was captured basically that is the type of scenario

that Ukraine could potentially face at the culmination of this war of attrition

Russia is launching this is what the Trump administration what the special

interests he works for fear the most in that case there there is nothing to

freeze in Ukraine the US has just simply lost in Ukraine and then it will have to

still deal with the rise of China and it will still have to find a way to deal

with to pin down and overextend Russia as it focuses on Iran and China and

North Korea elsewhere it's a is a multifront conflict the US is waging to

maintain its global primacy it does not seek to wage war against all of these countries at the same time it wants to

freeze them overextend others focus on just one defeat them in detail rather

than try to fight them all at once that is the plan that was always the plan that was the plan before President Trump

stepped foot in office this is the plan uh he is obviously implementing

regardless of the rhetoric the back and forth rhetoric that that comes from him and others in his administration the

people he surrounded himself with are people who work for the interests funding these think tanks that have

articulated these policies they themselves are repeating almost verbatim

like US Secretary of Defense Pexes did in February that directive he laid out

in February is visibly what is now taking shape everything else was a distraction

everything else was to manage public perception to make it appear as if

President Trump really did try for peace and it was others who undermined him he himself now in social media is blaming

everyone except himself it all goes back to the fact that this is a US war on

Russia fought through not just Ukraine but also Europe if the US really wanted to it really could have ended this

conflict overnight it could have pulled the plug and everything would have ended the fact that it hasn't is because the

US and and those in the US government right now do not want it to end they

just wanted to convince some people that they did want it to end we have to keep a very close eye on the conflict in

Ukraine we also have to keep a very close eye on the overall geopolitical

situation as the policy papers themselves admit this is not just about Ukraine and Russia this is

about a global strategy of division of labor and strategic sequencing not just

Russia but also China primarily but also Iran and North Korea we have to remember

that even with all the advantages Russia and China have militarily over the United States US has a vast array of

asymmetric means at its disposal that it has used successfully in recent history

syria being a a a very important example to keep in mind so we have to keep an

eye on what is going on in Ukraine together with all of these other factors

they all are interrelated and the outcome of any one of them is going to affect the other i will continue keeping

an eye on all of this and reporting it if you thought this video was useful please like and share think about

subscribing it's free to do it helps the channel grow check the video description below for other places you can find and

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you for watching

Brian Berletic | The New Atlas

Brian Berletic | The New Atlas | Creating (formally Land Destroyer) articles & videos covering ge | Patreon

Brian Berletic - Wikispooks Brian Joseph Thomas Berletic, who wrote for over a decade under the pen name of 'Tony Cartalucci',[1] is a geopolitical researcher and writer based in Bangkok, Thailand.[2] His work covers world events from a Southeast Asian perspective. Berletic's former blog Land Destroyer Report moved to NewAtlas.report in October 2021.[3]

In March 2022, Brian Berletic was again suspended by Twitter for diverging from the western narrative.[4] Background

Brian Berletic, by his own account, "joined the US Marine Corps at the age of 17 just days after graduating high school."[1]

Career

Brian Berletic is reportedly a former US marine.[5][6] He has been regular contributor to Land Destroyer Report[7], Activist Post[8], New Eastern Outlook[9], Russia Insider[10], The Grayzone[11], United Pushback[12], The Daily Sheeple,[13] 21st Century Wire[14] and Global Research[15] and has had work published at Off Guardian.[16]

In a report about Fake news censorship in July 2019, New Eastern Outlook reported that both Berletic's Twitter and Facebook accounts had been deleted. [17] The report cites a Reuters article [18] in which a Facebook spokesman is quoted as saying that this and other account deletions were for "coordinated inauthentic behavior". It is a detailed account of the methods being employed by the "Fake news website" campaign to censor platforms that effectively challenge western official narratives.